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Advances in mosquito dynamics modeling

机译:蚊子动力学模型的进展

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摘要

It is preliminarily known that Aedes mosquitoes are very close to humans andtheir dwellings, also give rises to a broad spectrum of diseases: dengue,yellow fever, chikungunya. In this paper, we explore a multi-age-class modelfor mosquito population secondarily classified into indoor-outdoor dynamics. Weaccentuate a novel design for the model in which periodicity of the affectingtime-varying environmental condition is taken into account. Application of theoptimal control with collocated measure as apposed to the widely-usedprototypic smooth time-continuous measure is also considered. Using twoapproaches: least-square and maximum likelihood, we estimate several involvingundetermined parameters. We analyze the model enforceability to biologicalpoint of view such as existence, uniqueness, positivity and boundedness ofsolution trajectory, also existence and stability of (non)trivial periodicsolution(s) by means of the basic mosquito offspring number. Some numericaltests are brought along at the rest of the paper as a compact realisticvisualization of the model.
机译:众所周知,伊蚊与人类非常接近,它们的房屋也引起了广泛的疾病:登革热,黄热病,基孔肯雅热。在本文中,我们探索了一种将蚊子种群划分为室内-室外动态的多年龄类模型。我们重点考虑了影响时变环境条件的周期性的模型的新颖设计。还考虑了将最优控制与并置测度并置为广泛使用的原型平滑时间连续测度。使用最小二乘和最大似然这两种方法,我们估计了一些涉及不确定的参数。我们通过基本的蚊子后代数来分析模型对生物学观点的可执行性,例如溶液轨迹的存在性,唯一性,正性和有界性,以及(非)简单周期解的存在性和稳定性。在本文的其余部分还进行了一些数值测试,作为模型的紧凑现实可视化。

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